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10 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.4%
Scunthorpe
20.3%
Draw
62.3%
Tranmere

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Scunthorpe

vs
1.99

Tranmere

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
6.6%
1-0
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).