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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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3.5%
Coleshill Town
6.4%
Draw
90.1%
Eastwood Community

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Coleshill Town

vs
3.98

Eastwood Community

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.595.1%
Over 2.585.5%
Over 3.570.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
8.8%
0-4
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
1-4
7.0%
0-5
7.0%
0-2
6.7%
1-5
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
3.4%
2-3
2.8%
2-4
2.8%
1-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).