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DHT: 01CSV

25 Nov 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.0%
Alloa
31.9%
Draw
43.1%
Inverness C

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Alloa

vs
1.18

Inverness C

Markets

BTTS39.9%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.0%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).