Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Vitória Guimarães
25.3%
Draw
19.1%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Vitória Guimarães
vs
0.93
Estrela
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).