Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Mirandes
28.9%
Draw
22.0%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Mirandes
vs
0.75
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).