Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Ascoli
31.4%
Draw
33.6%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Ascoli
vs
1.11
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).