Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Boavista
24.0%
Draw
43.6%
Arouca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Boavista
vs
1.53
Arouca
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).