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11 Feb 2024 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.6%
Alcorcon
31.1%
Draw
39.2%
Andorra

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Alcorcon

vs
1.05

Andorra

Markets

BTTS37.7%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.513.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.5%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).