Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
12.4%
Draw
8.6%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.98
Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
0.92
Man United
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.574.6%
Over 3.554.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.0%
3-0
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-0
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
4-1
6.1%
1-1
5.4%
5-0
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
5-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).