Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.6%
Burgos
31.1%
Draw
19.3%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Burgos
vs
0.60
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS31.0%
Over 0.583.0%
Over 1.552.5%
Over 2.526.0%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.0%
0-0
17.0%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.0%
3-0
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
0-2
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
2.1%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).