Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
23.0%
Draw
62.6%
Bochum
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
1.95
Bochum
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.7%
0-1
11.0%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.6%
0-0
7.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
4.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).