Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
Orenburg
27.5%
Draw
43.5%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Orenburg
vs
1.58
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.9%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).