Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
Plymouth
20.5%
Draw
21.1%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Plymouth
vs
1.03
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).