Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Estoril
22.4%
Draw
33.4%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Estoril
vs
1.46
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
7.6%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-2
3.7%
0-0
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).