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05 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.1%
Sociedad
20.6%
Draw
16.3%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

2.09

Sociedad

vs
0.96

Levante

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).