Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.9%
Ath Bilbao
13.2%
Draw
5.9%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.59
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
3-0
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
8.0%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).