Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Burnley
23.7%
Draw
53.9%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Burnley
vs
2.07
Man United
Markets
BTTS64.8%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
0-3
5.1%
0-0
4.7%
2-3
4.3%
1-4
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).