Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.5%
Blackburn
31.8%
Draw
26.7%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Blackburn
vs
0.89
Luton
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
14.0%
0-0
13.7%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).