Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.6%
Sp Braga
12.1%
Draw
5.2%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94
Sp Braga
vs
0.67
Estrela
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.9%
Over 3.548.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
1-1
5.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-0
5.0%
5-1
3.3%
0-0
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).