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AHT: 00CSV

27 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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4.2%
Wolfsburg
7.6%
Draw
88.2%
Bayern Munich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Wolfsburg

vs
4.07

Bayern Munich

Markets

BTTS61.8%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.596.3%
Over 2.588.0%
Over 3.574.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-4
7.3%
1-4
7.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
7.1%
0-5
5.9%
1-5
5.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-4
3.6%
2-3
3.5%
2-5
2.9%
1-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).