Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Mainz
25.7%
Draw
33.8%
Eintracht Frankfurt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Mainz
vs
1.42
Eintracht Frankfurt
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.1%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).