Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.6%
Werder Bremen
20.3%
Draw
65.0%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Werder Bremen
vs
2.21
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
0-1
8.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
7.3%
0-0
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-4
4.0%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).