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AHT: 01CSV

28 Apr 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.5%
Greuther Furth
20.3%
Draw
63.2%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Greuther Furth

vs
2.34

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS62.5%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.5%
0-3
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-3
4.3%
0-0
3.8%
0-4
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).