Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.4%
Portsmouth
22.0%
Draw
67.7%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Portsmouth
vs
1.90
Leeds
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
0-2
14.7%
1-1
10.1%
0-3
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
1-3
5.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).