Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →98.2%
Barcelona
1.4%
Draw
0.4%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
5.65
Barcelona
vs
0.47
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.598.4%
Over 2.594.1%
Over 3.585.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
5-0
10.9%
4-0
9.7%
3-0
6.8%
5-1
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
2-1
1.7%
1-0
1.3%
5-2
1.2%
4-2
1.1%
3-2
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).