Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Paris SG
19.9%
Draw
29.4%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Paris SG
vs
1.60
Marseille
Markets
BTTS69.9%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.572.1%
Over 3.551.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-2
5.0%
0-1
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).