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Caen

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HHT: 00CSV

03 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Bastia

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.1%
Caen
30.7%
Draw
36.2%
Bastia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Caen

vs
0.93

Bastia

Markets

BTTS34.1%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.552.6%
Over 2.526.9%
Over 3.510.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.4%
1-0
15.5%
0-0
15.5%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
3-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).