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AHT: 01CSV

04 Feb 2023 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.4%
Ankaragucu
32.4%
Draw
22.2%
Karagumruk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Ankaragucu

vs
1.00

Karagumruk

Markets

BTTS51.9%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.5%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).