Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Port Vale
24.0%
Draw
23.8%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Port Vale
vs
0.99
Salford
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).