Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.6%
Milton Keynes Dons
18.6%
Draw
15.7%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
0.96
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
4-1
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).