Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Reggina
30.4%
Draw
40.1%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Reggina
vs
1.28
Lecce
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).