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04 Jul 2020 · 20:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.8%
Fuenlabrada
26.1%
Draw
32.1%
Mirandes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Fuenlabrada

vs
1.19

Mirandes

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).