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AHT: 11CSV

26 Dec 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.8%
Standard
29.3%
Draw
48.9%
St Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Standard

vs
1.36

St Truiden

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.7%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.0%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).