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AHT: 02CSV

29 Apr 2022 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.6%
Heidenheim
25.3%
Draw
16.1%
Fortuna Dusseldorf

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Heidenheim

vs
0.82

Fortuna Dusseldorf

Markets

BTTS47.2%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).