Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Estrela
28.1%
Draw
31.2%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Estrela
vs
1.17
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).