Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.8%
Vizela
16.5%
Draw
71.7%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Vizela
vs
2.34
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.6%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.1%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
7.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
0-0
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).