Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Nieciecza
29.5%
Draw
42.0%
Korona Kielce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Nieciecza
vs
1.34
Korona Kielce
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).