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HHT: 21CSV

07 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.9%
Wigan
28.1%
Draw
28.9%
Milton Keynes Dons

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Wigan

vs
0.87

Milton Keynes Dons

Markets

BTTS38.4%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.558.6%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.4%
0-1
12.8%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.1%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).