Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Sunderland
30.5%
Draw
20.8%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Sunderland
vs
0.76
West Brom
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
13.5%
2-0
10.8%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).