Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.4%
Sassuolo
20.3%
Draw
11.3%
Brescia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Sassuolo
vs
0.79
Brescia
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.9%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.0%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).