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DHT: 11CSV

02 Mar 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.3%
Dunkerque
18.6%
Draw
14.1%
Concarneau

Expected Goals (xG)

2.03

Dunkerque

vs
0.78

Concarneau

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.1%
2-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
4-0
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).