Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Venezia
29.1%
Draw
29.9%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Venezia
vs
0.95
Empoli
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).