Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.3%
Hamburg
15.5%
Draw
8.2%
Wehen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.69
Hamburg
vs
0.82
Wehen
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.8%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.4%
1-1
7.2%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
0-0
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
5-0
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).