Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.2%
Lorient
18.9%
Draw
12.9%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Lorient
vs
0.77
Clermont
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.4%
0-1
4.6%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).