Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Almeria
23.2%
Draw
55.5%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Almeria
vs
1.84
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.7%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
2-3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).