Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.3%
Milan
11.5%
Draw
5.2%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Milan
vs
0.57
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
3-0
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
4-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
1-1
5.4%
4-1
5.0%
5-0
4.9%
0-0
3.4%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).