Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Giresunspor
28.1%
Draw
28.2%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Giresunspor
vs
1.42
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS65.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
1-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).