Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.4%
Mallorca
21.8%
Draw
61.7%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Mallorca
vs
1.98
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.8%
0-1
10.6%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
5.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).