Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Brixham
21.5%
Draw
32.3%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Brixham
vs
1.56
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS66.9%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.545.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
3-2
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).