Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.7%
Farnham Town
18.6%
Draw
18.7%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Farnham Town
vs
1.19
Sutton
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.1%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).